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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 82nd percentile for shooting prowess with an excellent 51.8% rate this year.

The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Ausar Thompson will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (88th percentile).

The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting SFs have posted 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.

Ausar Thompson has sunk 55.6% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.

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