Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 12:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has made 67.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have notched 23.9 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a positive matchup for offensive output.
The 9th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing at home this year.
Ausar Thompson has sunk just 40.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly lower than his 58.0 mark last year.

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