Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2025

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 9, 2025

Updated Jan 10, 2025 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-113/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has made 64.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's sunk overall this year.
The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the highest three rate in the NBA this year (47.0%).
The 9th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 5th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Pistons's subpar 110.9 points per game at home comes in as the 8th-fewest in the league this year.
Ausar Thompson has converted 33.3% of his foul shots this year, placing him in the 1st percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the league) against the Warriors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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