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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup.

The 10th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Ausar Thompson is expected to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson places in the 6th percentile for three-point efficiency with a lackluster 15.7% rate since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season.

With respect to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's poor 109.2 points per game on their home court rates 6th-fewest in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Detroit Pistons.

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 56.8% of his free throws while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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