Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has made 55.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has made 1.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The matchup against the Nets is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (19.5).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 7.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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