Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 55.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.0% more than he's sunk overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has converted 1.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 8.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 24th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games as the away team.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the away team.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have shot 37.9% on 3-pointers (6th-best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
Ausar Thompson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player performance in all facets of the game.

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