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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has sunk 60.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Ausar Thompson has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.

This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.9 three-pointers per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, marking this as a good matchup.

The 5th-quickest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 11th percentile for three-point ability on the road with a a lackluster 14.6% rate this year.

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Pistons's subpar 112.5 points per game rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.6 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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