Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 62.4% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 14.5% higher than he's made overall this year.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Pistons check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 13.6% of his treys while at home this year, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.7 fouls per game playing at home this year.
With respect to scoring, the Pistons's lackluster 111.8 points per game on their home court measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The 9th-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.