Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 66.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 19.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Pistons have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Chicago Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has converted 13.0% of his 3-pointers away from home this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ausar Thompson has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (94th percentile).
The Pistons check in as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 23.9% on threes (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, making this a challenging matchup.
The Pistons are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).