Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic · Feb 24, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 5.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 11th percentile for 3-point performance while on his home court with a a weak 13.6% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson places in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game on his home court this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Pistons's unimpressive 111.9 points per game at home rates fewest in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have put up 15.1 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, making this a challenging matchup for offensive performance.
The Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Magic).