Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a good one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from home.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-speediest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the NBA away from home with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 10.8% of his attempts from downtown when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team has come down with 11.6 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (continuing possessions that can generate further opportunities for offense).
Ausar Thompson has made 63.2% of his foul shots when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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