Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 1:57 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 59.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 17.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the other team has snagged 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the LA Clippers (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has made 11.4% of his 3-point attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Pistons's unimpressive 113.3 points per game ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 29.4% on three-pointers (10th-weakest in the NBA) against the Clippers, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

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