Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs LA Clippers · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 52.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
Over the last 15 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have scored 112.9 points per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Clippers, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing squads have attempted 21.3 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 10th percentile for 3-point effectiveness on his home court with a an unimpressive 13.3% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
As it relates to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's feeble 112.8 points per game while on their home court places 5th-weakest in the league over the last 20 games.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Over the last 5 games, the other team has brought down 13.8 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers (preserving possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).