Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:16 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 51.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.8% higher than he's made overall this year.
The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (44.8%).
The Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 14.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while at home this year, putting him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has attempted 24.9 foul shots per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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