Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 55.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 10.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pistons.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 8thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Ausar Thompson stands to see an increase in productivity for all stats considering holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 15.7% of his treys with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 9th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ausar Thompson has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have attempted 26.8 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Bucks, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

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