Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 9, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 79th percentile for shooting proficiency on his home court with a an exceptional 53.3% rate this year.
The Pistons have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.
The Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Pistons.
The Pistons check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has secured 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 12.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
Ausar Thompson has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; opposing squads have put up the 5th-highest three percentage in the league over the last 5 games (42.3%).
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have attempted 24.1 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Kings, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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