Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Utah Jazz · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 12:10 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 18.4 free throws per game when the Jazz are away from home this year (least in the NBA).
Ausar Thompson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 13.9% of his 3-pointers playing at home this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 21st percentile for foul-shot efficiency with a a weak 66.1% rate this year.

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