Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 53.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 7.7% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year on his home court.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 16.7% of his three-pointers playing at home this year, ranking him in the 15th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.8 fouls per game on the road this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 108.8 points per game rates 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing squads have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 5 games (42.0%).
This matchup is a good one for drawing fouls; when the Magic are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a colossal 26.5 free throws per game this year (4th-most in the league).