Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

New York Knicks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:27 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has converted 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 11.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year on the road.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a measly 16.9 free throws per game when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 6th percentile for 3-point ability while on the road with a a bad 6.3% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Pistons have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from facing the slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Ausar Thompson will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.