Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 29, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has sunk 57.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's made in all games this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 5.7 3-point attempts per game (27th-most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 10th-quickest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 5thbest in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has converted 13.1% of his three-pointers while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.5 fouls per game away from home this year.
When it comes to offense, the Pistons's unimpressive 109.6 points per game ranks 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 13.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Lakers (continuing possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.1 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.