Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 25, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year.
The Detroit Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the fastest tempo away team in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Pistons have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Indiana is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game this year when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (28th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson slots into the 7th percentile for three-point proficiency while on the road with a a subpar 6.3% rate this year.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.9 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have averaged 2.9 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a challenging matchup.
While playing on the road, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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