Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 1:38 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pistons are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-most up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 6 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad (30th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 8.3% of his treys playing at home this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 3.5 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The Pistons check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the road team this year.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 4.4 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Cavaliers, making this a tough matchup.
The Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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