Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:24 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 31.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Hawks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have put up the 29th-highest FG% in the league this year (54.4%).
The 10th-speediest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson places in the 18th percentile for scoring efficiency away from his home court with a a feeble 38.7% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson lands in the 13th percentile for 3-point prowess on the road with a a subpar 18.3% rate this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 12.4 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Atlanta Hawks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).