Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 12, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Chicago is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Bulls are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.4).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons rank 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (28th-most in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 79th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed field goals, averaging a massive 7.6 per game this year.
Ausar Thompson has sunk 10.0% of his treys this year, ranking in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson slots into the 100th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year (the Bulls).

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