Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:18 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has attempted 11.3 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 31.2 minutes per game on his home court this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 2.0 three-pointers per game (27th-most in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, marking this as a good matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 10th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The 6th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the 76ers are the visiting team (6th-least in the league).

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