Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has attempted 13.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games while on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the league while on their home court with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 78th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, logging a colossal 2.8 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson slots into the 24th percentile for 3-point efficiency when playing at home with a a subpar 12.5% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the visting team this year.
The matchup against Milwaukee is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Bucks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 13th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league since the start of last season (1.3).
Away from their home court, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).