Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 6 games as the visting team.
The Pistons rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson rates in the 17th percentile for shooting prowess with a an unimpressive 36.0% rate since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, posting a colossal 3.3 fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season.
In terms of shooting, the Pistons's lackluster 110.2 points per game as the away team measures as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 11.1 field goal attempts per game (11th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.

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