Ausar Thompson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 28.3 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The 10th-fastest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 6 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 7thbest in in the league while playing at home with 11.3 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against Phoenix is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 3.5 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (24th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson measures in the 15th percentile for shooting effectiveness at home with a a weak 34.8% rate since the start of last season.
Ausar Thompson has made 0.0% of his 3-pointers since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ausar Thompson has committed 3.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
When it comes to scoring, the Pistons's lackluster 110.3 points per game settles in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 43.4% on shot attempts from the field (12th-weakest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a tough matchup.