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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 28.3 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.

The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.

The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson slots into the 15th percentile for shooting efficiency while at home with a a bad 35.9% rate since the start of last season.

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 14th percentile for 3-point ability with a a bad 16.7% rate since the start of last season.

Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 5.0 buckets per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, making this a challenging matchup.

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