Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-210).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.9 three-pointers per game (23rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Magic, marking this as a good matchup.
The 5th-quickest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have snagged 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 11th percentile for three-point ability on the road with a a lackluster 14.6% rate this year.
Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Pistons have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The Pistons will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
Ausar Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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