Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-290).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +210.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team has shot 35.4% on 3-pointers (5th-weakest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Detroit Pistons.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Ausar Thompson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has sunk 14.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while at home this year, putting him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.8 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Detroit Pistons.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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