Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 9thbest in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 16.7% of his attempts from downtown without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
Ausar Thompson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from home this year has been the Pistons.
The matchup against Atlanta is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 8 games when the Hawks are playing at home (3.4).
At home, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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