Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pistons will likely see an increase in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has made 15.0% of his treys while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 11th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ausar Thompson has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year in terms of three-point attempts.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the most offensive boards per game (15.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson is expected to see a decline in output in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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