Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 3:03 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 28.3 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the other team has nabbed 9.8 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 14th percentile for 3-point ability with a a bad 16.7% rate since the start of last season.
Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Detroit Pistons rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league away from home since the start of last season.
The matchup against New Orleans is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Pelicans are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have posted the 11th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league since the start of last season (31.5%).
Ausar Thompson will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.