Ausar Thompson Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 7.2 offensive boards per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (shortening possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).
Ausar Thompson should see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Detroit Pistons rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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