Ausar Thompson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-167).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -167.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.
The Pistons will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 10thbest in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about added chances for offense).
Ausar Thompson is expected to see a spike in performance across the board in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game while at home this year.

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