Ausar Thompson Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 2.9 assists per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
While playing away from home, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.8 fouls per game on the road this year.
Ausar Thompson figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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