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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Assists
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has posted 3.7 assists per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 81st percentile.

The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons grade out 12thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game this year.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Ausar Thompson ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.

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