Ausar Thompson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has tallied 4.3 assists per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 7 games while on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to increase plays for the Pistons.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 13thbest in in the league while on their home court with 15.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 3.5 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
Away from their home court, the Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Ausar Thompson figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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