Ausar Thompson Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2023

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Ausar Thompson

NBA · Player Props

Ausar Thompson

G-F · Detroit Pistons

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 2, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Ausar Thompson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ausar Thompson has totaled 4.0 assists per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category.
Out of all players in the league, Ausar Thompson registers in the 79th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 28.3 minutes per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
The Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while at home.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ausar Thompson has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
Ausar Thompson will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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