Anthony Lamb Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Anthony Lamb

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Lamb

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Lamb Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Lamb has converted 85.4% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Anthony Lamb will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for scoring; when the Thunder are away from home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 15th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.2).
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 20.1 free throw attempts per game.
The matchup against the Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the league).

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