Anthony Lamb Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Anthony Lamb

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Lamb

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Lamb Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; opposing squads have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (37.0%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, averaging a mere 17.5 foul shots per game.
This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a colossal 30.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (most in the NBA).

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