Anthony Edwards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 6:20 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has totaled 5.0 defensive boards per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest by this metric over this stretch of games: 88th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has played 34.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
Anthony Edwards will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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