Anthony Edwards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has compiled 5.1 defensive boards per game this year at home, putting him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 90th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has played 34.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards ought to get a boost in output in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
While playing away from home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

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