Anthony Edwards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has posted 5.1 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric recently: 89th percentile.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 90th percentile.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Anthony Edwards figures to see an increase in production in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards rates in the 95th percentile for technical fouls, posting an enormous 0.2 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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