Anthony Edwards Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has tallied a whopping 1.0 offensive boards per game this year, a significant increase from his 0.7 offensive boards per game last year.
Anthony Edwards has played 31.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from facing the 7th-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Anthony Edwards has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, the other team has come down with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Anthony Edwards is expected to see a decline in performance across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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