Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The 10th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup against Miami may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting team (4th-least in the NBA).

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