Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2025

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 1, 2025

Updated Apr 2, 2025 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has registered 27.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Compared to last year's 2.5 rate, Anthony Edwards's 3-point shots converted have spiked this year to 4.0 per game.
Among all players in the league, Anthony Edwards measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 36.1 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 123.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Denver is a positive one; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).

Favors Under

The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance across the board.

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