Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:35 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards slots into the 99th percentile, putting up an enormous 27.5 points per game this year.
In comparison to last year's 2.5 mark, Anthony Edwards's 3-pointers sunk have increased this year to 4.1 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.6 minutes per game away from home this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Heat, creating a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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