Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has posted 34.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Anthony Edwards has made an impressive 4.2 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.5 mark last season.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 36.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Timberwolves check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards has attempted 10.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on field goal attempts (weakest in the NBA) against the Thunder, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.
As a team, the Timberwolves have been bad at getting to the foul line playing at home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 21.1 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).